Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Korpikoski on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Korpikoski wins 41.3% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Korpikoski 45.6% vs Seguin 49.6% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 63.3%
Defensive zone
Seguin 68.9%
Neutral zone
Seguin 68.9%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 66.5%
33.5%
66.5%
Korpikoski
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Korpikoski
Seguin
Last 7: Korpikoski 5-2 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Korpikoski
3
0
Korpikoski
Seguin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Korpikoski
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Korpikoski
2
1
Korpikoski
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Korpikoski
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (191)
48.9% (274)
-2.8%
Power Play
40.0% (35)
53.8% (26)
-13.8%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (17)
50.0% (2)
-20.6%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Korpikoski is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (92).
Korpikoski shoots left. Seguin is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (231).
Home / Away
Korpikoski
Seguin
Home
42.3% (142)
53.5% (129)
Away
46.1% (102)
46.6% (174)
By Period
Korpikoski
Seguin
P1
37.1%
52.3%
P2
43.6%
48.1%
P3
50.0%
47.8%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.2%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Korpikoski
40.0%▲
32.5%
43.9%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2010 | 3 | 08:29 | Offensive | Lauri Korpikoski |
| Oct 10, 2010 | 1 | 16:19 | Offensive | Lauri Korpikoski |
| Oct 10, 2010 | 1 | 16:08 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 3 | 04:51 | Neutral | Lauri Korpikoski |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 3 | 02:48 | Offensive | Lauri Korpikoski |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 2 | 05:44 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 1 | 06:44 | Neutral | Lauri Korpikoski |