Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Johansson wins 40.3% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansson 41.7% vs Seguin 49.6% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansson 73.4%
Defensive zone
Johansson 75.3%
Neutral zone
Johansson 74.1%
Result
Marcus Johansson favored at 74.3%
74.3%
25.7%
Johansson
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Johansson
Seguin
Last 9: Johansson 2-7 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Johansson
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Johansson
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
2
4
Johansson
Seguin
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansson
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
40.3% (596)
48.9% (274)
-8.6%
Power Play
47.2% (36)
53.8% (26)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (28)
50.0% (2)
-7.1%
On even strength, Seguin has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Johansson is 40.3% vs right-shot opponents (258).
Johansson shoots left. Seguin is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (231).
Home / Away
Johansson
Seguin
Home
43.5% (313)
53.5% (129)
Away
37.9% (356)
46.6% (174)
By Period
Johansson
Seguin
P1
42.6%
52.3%
P2
42.9%
48.1%
P3
36.4%
47.8%
OT
22.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
39.5%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansson
28.0%▼
38.0%
40.5%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2010 | 1 | 01:34 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 21, 2010 | 2 | 02:22 | Neutral | Marcus Johansson |
| Oct 19, 2010 | 3 | 14:27 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 19, 2010 | 3 | 06:03 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 19, 2010 | 3 | 02:08 | Neutral | Marcus Johansson |
| Oct 19, 2010 | 2 | 02:17 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 19, 2010 | 1 | 11:57 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 19, 2010 | 1 | 09:12 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 19, 2010 | 1 | 05:57 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |