Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +18.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Johansson wins 40.1% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansson 41.7% vs Seguin 57.4% (-18.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansson 87.0%
Defensive zone
Johansson 87.6%
Neutral zone
Johansson 87.3%
Result
Marcus Johansson favored at 87.3%
87.3%
12.7%
Johansson
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Johansson
Seguin
Last 5: Johansson 0-5 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Johansson
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Johansson
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
3
Johansson
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansson
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (445)
59.6% (736)
-19.2%
Power Play
33.3% (39)
61.5% (65)
-28.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
47.6% (124)
+2.4%
On power play, Seguin has a +28.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Johansson is 40.1% vs right-shot opponents (152).
Johansson shoots left. Seguin is 59.1% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Home / Away
Johansson
Seguin
Home
42.6% (249)
60.1% (461)
Away
37.3% (241)
56.3% (464)
By Period
Johansson
Seguin
P1
43.9%
59.1%
P2
33.5%
58.9%
P3
42.5%
57.3%
OT
33.3%
46.7%
Final 5 min
39.8%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansson
28.0%▼
38.0%
40.0%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 18:36 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 3 | 12:47 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 2 | 14:21 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 2 | 06:33 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 2 | 06:27 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |