Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +15.6% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 40.0% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.0% vs Seguin 53.6% (-15.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 69.4%
Defensive zone
Kempe 68.4%
Neutral zone
Kempe 68.4%
Result
Mario Kempe favored at 68.8%
68.8%
31.2%
Kempe
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kempe
Seguin
Last 5: Kempe 1-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kempe
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Kempe
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Kempe
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
38.5% (312)
53.9% (996)
-15.4%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
56.4% (94)
-23.1%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (14)
52.1% (165)
-16.4%
On power play, Seguin has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Kempe is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (110).
Kempe shoots left. Seguin is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (873).
Home / Away
Kempe
Seguin
Home
38.8% (160)
55.9% (633)
Away
37.9% (169)
51.8% (622)
By Period
Kempe
Seguin
P1
35.9%
55.8%
P2
39.0%
51.7%
P3
38.9%
54.5%
OT
100.0%
38.5%
Final 5 min
42.6%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
50.0%▲
38.5%
38.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 00:16 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 4, 2019 | 3 | 13:01 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 4, 2019 | 3 | 03:39 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 3 | 19:31 | Offensive | Mario Kempe |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 3 | 16:25 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |