Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.1% vs 51.0%). Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 50.1% vs Seguin 50.9% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 68.0%
Defensive zone
Stajan 70.7%
Neutral zone
Stajan 54.2%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 62.5%
62.5%
37.5%
Stajan
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Stajan
Seguin
Last 6: Stajan 1-5 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
3
Stajan
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Stajan
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (627)
51.1% (720)
-0.2%
Power Play
40.0% (15)
54.2% (59)
-14.2%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (126)
14.3% (7)
+33.3%
On penalty kill, Stajan has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Stajan is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Stajan shoots left. Seguin is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Home / Away
Stajan
Seguin
Home
52.4% (401)
52.0% (421)
Away
47.7% (367)
49.9% (365)
By Period
Stajan
Seguin
P1
56.3%
50.8%
P2
45.5%
51.3%
P3
48.9%
51.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
50.1%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2017 | 3 | 17:04 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 17, 2017 | 2 | 10:51 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 6, 2016 | 1 | 08:55 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 6, 2016 | 1 | 08:45 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 3 | 03:03 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 2 | 15:42 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |