Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 49.4% vs Seguin 53.6% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 20-9 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Stajan 63.0%
Defensive zone
Stajan 83.0%
Neutral zone
Stajan 63.8%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 66.9%
66.9%
33.1%
Stajan
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
20
(29 meetings)
9
20
Stajan
Seguin
Last 10: Stajan 1-9 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
7
Stajan
Seguin
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
4
Stajan
Seguin
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
7
9
Stajan
Seguin
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (4,944)
53.7% (8,071)
-3.5%
Power Play
43.2% (176)
55.9% (810)
-12.7%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (864)
49.3% (762)
-3.2%
On power play, Seguin has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Stajan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,026).
Stajan shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Stajan
Seguin
Home
51.3% (3,098)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
47.3% (2,892)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Stajan
Seguin
P1
50.3%
52.8%
P2
48.5%
53.3%
P3
49.4%
54.7%
OT
53.3%
54.7%
Final 5 min
49.9%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2018 | 2 | 10:04 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 1 | 03:20 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 17, 2017 | 3 | 17:04 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 17, 2017 | 2 | 10:51 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 6, 2016 | 1 | 08:55 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 6, 2016 | 1 | 08:45 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 3 | 03:03 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 2 | 15:42 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 25, 2016 | 1 | 14:41 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 25, 2016 | 1 | 09:35 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 3 | 12:14 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 3 | 05:40 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 3 | 02:32 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 3 | 17:42 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 3 | 13:02 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 25, 2015 | 1 | 02:19 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 2 | 17:08 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |