Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Domi on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Domi wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 45.3% vs Seguin 53.6% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 56.4%
Defensive zone
Seguin 83.3%
Neutral zone
Seguin 80.1%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 69.3%
30.7%
69.3%
Domi
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Domi
Seguin
Last 6: Domi 4-2 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
3
0
Domi
Seguin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Domi
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Domi
1
0
Domi
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (826)
53.9% (996)
-10.3%
Power Play
51.6% (157)
56.4% (94)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
52.1% (165)
-5.9%
On even strength, Seguin has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Domi is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (291).
Domi shoots left. Seguin is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (873).
Home / Away
Domi
Seguin
Home
46.4% (524)
55.9% (633)
Away
43.2% (472)
51.8% (622)
By Period
Domi
Seguin
P1
45.2%
55.8%
P2
42.7%
51.7%
P3
47.1%
54.5%
OT
38.5%
38.5%
Final 5 min
46.4%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
44.9%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2018 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 01:44 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 1 | 19:39 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 3 | 07:49 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 1 | 17:59 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 1 | 04:29 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |