Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). McLeod wins 60.1% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 59.6% vs Seguin 54.2% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 86.4%
Defensive zone
Seguin 62.0%
Neutral zone
Seguin 66.7%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 80.9%
19.1%
80.9%
McLeod
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
McLeod
Seguin
Last 8: McLeod 3-5 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
2
4
McLeod
Seguin
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
McLeod
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
0
McLeod
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
61.5% (792)
55.0% (713)
+6.5%
Power Play
65.2% (23)
56.7% (104)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (153)
47.2% (53)
+8.4%
On power play, McLeod has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. McLeod is 60.1% vs right-shot opponents (248).
McLeod shoots right. Seguin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
McLeod
Seguin
Home
62.0% (460)
56.2% (443)
Away
59.4% (508)
53.2% (427)
By Period
McLeod
Seguin
P1
61.5%
54.2%
P2
63.6%
52.9%
P3
56.2%
57.1%
OT
73.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
60.8%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
60.6%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2023 | 3 | 01:11 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 2 | 06:28 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 01:36 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 07:55 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 07:51 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 19:07 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 03:46 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 01:21 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |