Scouting Report
Mike Santorelli holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Santorelli on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Santorelli 51.1% vs Seguin 42.6% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Santorelli 78.2%
Defensive zone
Santorelli 88.7%
Neutral zone
Santorelli 80.2%
Result
Mike Santorelli favored at 80.7%
80.7%
19.3%
Santorelli
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Santorelli
Seguin
Last 5: Santorelli 5-0 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Santorelli
3
0
Santorelli
Seguin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Santorelli
1
0
Santorelli
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Santorelli
1
0
Santorelli
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Santorelli
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (333)
41.1% (649)
+9.4%
Power Play
55.4% (56)
54.2% (24)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (30)
25.0% (4)
+28.3%
On penalty kill, Santorelli has a +28.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Santorelli is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (109).
Santorelli shoots right. Seguin is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Home / Away
Santorelli
Seguin
Home
54.2% (179)
44.4% (338)
Away
49.2% (240)
38.6% (339)
By Period
Santorelli
Seguin
P1
49.6%
37.8%
P2
51.8%
45.5%
P3
52.7%
41.9%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
37.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Santorelli
40.0%▼
46.5%
51.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
41.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2013 | 2 | 15:54 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 2 | 08:19 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 1 | 19:26 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 1 | 19:21 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 1 | 04:56 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |