Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spaling 51.2% vs Seguin 55.0% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 52.2%
Defensive zone
Spaling 75.9%
Neutral zone
Spaling 59.3%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Spaling
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
13
(19 meetings)
6
13
Spaling
Seguin
Last 10: Spaling 3-7 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
2
5
Spaling
Seguin
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Spaling
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
3
7
Spaling
Seguin
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spaling
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (461)
55.9% (789)
-3.4%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
52.1% (48)
+14.6%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (131)
44.4% (9)
+2.2%
On power play, Spaling has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Spaling is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (245).
Spaling shoots left. Seguin is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (595).
Home / Away
Spaling
Seguin
Home
57.2% (297)
57.3% (382)
Away
45.7% (304)
54.1% (464)
By Period
Spaling
Seguin
P1
54.2%
55.1%
P2
46.6%
57.5%
P3
54.3%
53.7%
OT
25.0%
61.1%
Final 5 min
56.1%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
51.4%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2015 | 3 | 18:28 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 3 | 16:32 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 3 | 05:39 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 3 | 03:24 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 3 | 03:20 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 2 | 19:26 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 1 | 18:38 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 1 | 18:38 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 1 | 08:25 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 2, 2015 | 3 | 15:32 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 2, 2015 | 3 | 00:10 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 2, 2015 | 2 | 12:45 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 2, 2015 | 2 | 06:03 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 2, 2015 | 2 | 06:00 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 2, 2015 | 2 | 05:55 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 2, 2015 | 2 | 05:52 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 2, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 2, 2015 | 1 | 09:22 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 2, 2015 | 1 | 05:27 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |