Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +20.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Krebs wins 42.4% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krebs 40.7% vs Seguin 55.4% (-20.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 59.4%
Defensive zone
Seguin 74.8%
Neutral zone
Seguin 71.3%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 71.0%
29.0%
71.0%
Krebs
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Krebs
Seguin
Last 5: Krebs 3-2 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
1
0
Krebs
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Krebs
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krebs
1
0
Krebs
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krebs
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
33.3% (159)
56.5% (712)
-23.2%
Power Play
61.5% (13)
59.7% (67)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
44.9% (49)
-44.9%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +44.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Krebs is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (59).
Krebs shoots left. Seguin is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Krebs
Seguin
Home
37.0% (81)
58.5% (402)
Away
33.7% (92)
53.8% (426)
By Period
Krebs
Seguin
P1
39.0%
58.4%
P2
32.8%
54.7%
P3
33.9%
54.1%
Final 5 min
46.9%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
35.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 18:42 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 08:56 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 03:30 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 03:19 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 16:40 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |