Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sheahan 50.1% vs Seguin 53.6% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 18-9 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Sheahan 57.7%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 69.5%
Neutral zone
Sheahan 63.4%
Result
Riley Sheahan favored at 63.6%
63.6%
36.4%
Sheahan
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
18
(27 meetings)
9
18
Sheahan
Seguin
Last 10: Sheahan 3-7 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
9
Sheahan
Seguin
10 total
Defensive Zone
Even
5
5
Sheahan
Seguin
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
3
4
Sheahan
Seguin
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sheahan
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (4,968)
53.7% (8,071)
-2.7%
Power Play
55.6% (322)
55.9% (810)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (1,068)
49.3% (762)
-5.0%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Sheahan is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,365).
Sheahan shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Sheahan
Seguin
Home
51.1% (3,247)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
49.0% (3,111)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Sheahan
Seguin
P1
51.3%
52.8%
P2
51.2%
53.3%
P3
48.1%
54.7%
OT
35.6%
54.7%
Final 5 min
50.9%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.1%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 02:32 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 2 | 05:13 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 2 | 05:05 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 12, 2022 | 3 | 08:16 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 12, 2022 | 3 | 08:12 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 12, 2022 | 1 | 02:19 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 1 | 11:21 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 1 | 11:08 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 1 | 01:55 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 16, 2019 | 3 | 10:50 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 16, 2019 | 2 | 15:41 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 16, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 13:41 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 14:30 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 09:08 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 3 | 19:37 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 2 | 09:52 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Mar 11, 2018 | 3 | 10:24 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 11, 2018 | 2 | 10:12 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 9, 2018 | OT | 03:31 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |