Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 20 meetings). Kesler wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 55.9% vs Seguin 53.6% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 32-24 in 56 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 57.8%
Defensive zone
Kesler 70.8%
Neutral zone
Kesler 68.8%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 67.3%
67.3%
32.7%
Kesler
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
32
-
24
(56 meetings)
32
24
Kesler
Seguin
Last 10: Kesler 4-6 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
7
4
Kesler
Seguin
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
12
8
Kesler
Seguin
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
13
12
Kesler
Seguin
25 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (8,095)
53.7% (8,071)
+2.7%
Power Play
60.7% (1,437)
55.9% (810)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (1,908)
49.3% (762)
+1.2%
On power play, Kesler has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Kesler is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,497).
Kesler shoots right. Seguin is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,846).
Home / Away
Kesler
Seguin
Home
57.2% (5,732)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
54.7% (5,751)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Kesler
Seguin
P1
56.5%
52.8%
P2
55.9%
53.3%
P3
56.1%
54.7%
OT
46.0%
54.7%
Final 5 min
56.9%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 12, 2018 | 2 | 16:30 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 12, 2018 | 2 | 08:07 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 12, 2018 | 1 | 14:08 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 12, 2018 | 1 | 05:12 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 12, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 3 | 02:28 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 2 | 16:54 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 08:08 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 08:01 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 15:11 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 10:15 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 05:59 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 2 | 07:49 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 1 | 06:33 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 1 | 04:36 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 9, 2018 | 1 | 12:25 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 9, 2018 | 1 | 12:16 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |