Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 52.9% vs Seguin 54.5% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 68.2%
Defensive zone
Seguin 55.0%
Neutral zone
Seguin 53.1%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Kesler
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
2
(11 meetings)
9
2
Kesler
Seguin
Last 10: Kesler 8-2 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kesler
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
4
0
Kesler
Seguin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
4
1
Kesler
Seguin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (567)
55.1% (1,036)
+0.1%
Power Play
54.9% (51)
56.9% (174)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (131)
52.2% (230)
-7.2%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Kesler is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (234).
Kesler shoots right. Seguin is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (492).
Home / Away
Kesler
Seguin
Home
55.7% (388)
58.9% (703)
Away
50.8% (362)
51.0% (737)
By Period
Kesler
Seguin
P1
56.3%
54.5%
P2
52.5%
53.7%
P3
52.6%
57.0%
OT
35.3%
45.8%
Final 5 min
60.1%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
53.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2018 | 2 | 07:49 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 1 | 06:33 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 1 | 04:36 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 9, 2018 | 1 | 12:25 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 9, 2018 | 1 | 12:16 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 9, 2018 | 1 | 12:07 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 9, 2018 | 1 | 07:51 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 21, 2018 | 3 | 01:24 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 21, 2018 | 1 | 16:46 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |