Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Plekanec wins 56.8% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Plekanec 53.1% vs Seguin 54.5% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 66.1%
Defensive zone
Plekanec 65.6%
Neutral zone
Seguin 50.6%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Plekanec
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Plekanec
Seguin
Last 5: Plekanec 4-1 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
2
0
Plekanec
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Plekanec
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Plekanec
1
0
Plekanec
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Plekanec
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (1,007)
55.1% (1,036)
-1.8%
Power Play
71.4% (21)
56.9% (174)
+14.5%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (208)
52.2% (230)
-0.8%
On power play, Plekanec has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Plekanec is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (463).
Plekanec shoots left. Seguin is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (948).
Home / Away
Plekanec
Seguin
Home
52.2% (628)
58.9% (703)
Away
54.4% (608)
51.0% (737)
By Period
Plekanec
Seguin
P1
55.6%
54.5%
P2
54.4%
53.7%
P3
49.9%
57.0%
OT
63.6%
45.8%
Final 5 min
54.9%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
53.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2017 | 3 | 10:40 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 21, 2017 | 3 | 10:33 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 21, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 21, 2017 | 2 | 05:32 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 21, 2017 | 1 | 04:52 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |