Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zajac 52.6% vs Seguin 57.4% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Zajac 61.9%
Defensive zone
Zajac 61.7%
Neutral zone
Zajac 57.0%
Result
Travis Zajac favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
Zajac
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Zajac
Seguin
Last 10: Zajac 2-8 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
3
Zajac
Seguin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Zajac
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
3
Zajac
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zajac
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (851)
59.6% (736)
-5.7%
Power Play
49.0% (49)
61.5% (65)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (190)
47.6% (124)
+1.3%
On power play, Seguin has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Zajac is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (340).
Zajac shoots right. Seguin is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Zajac
Seguin
Home
53.3% (533)
60.1% (461)
Away
52.4% (557)
56.3% (464)
By Period
Zajac
Seguin
P1
54.3%
59.1%
P2
51.8%
58.9%
P3
53.2%
57.3%
OT
14.3%
46.7%
Final 5 min
51.3%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
52.8%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 04:22 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 19:54 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 1 | 16:07 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 1 | 09:05 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 18:09 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 09:26 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 1 | 06:49 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |