Scouting Report
Ryan Spooner holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Spooner wins 41.8% vs right-shot opponents — Toffoli shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spooner 43.6% vs Toffoli 43.0% (+2.4%)
Offensive zone
Toffoli 57.6%
Defensive zone
Spooner 57.7%
Neutral zone
Spooner 51.0%
Result
Ryan Spooner favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Spooner
Toffoli
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spooner
Toffoli
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (1,540)
41.2% (274)
+1.9%
Power Play
46.3% (67)
45.0% (40)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (19)
26.3% (19)
+15.8%
On penalty kill, Spooner has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toffoli shoots right. Spooner is 41.8% vs right-shot opponents (612).
Spooner shoots left. Toffoli is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (225).
Home / Away
Spooner
Toffoli
Home
43.9% (779)
44.5% (155)
Away
42.6% (847)
37.6% (178)
By Period
Spooner
Toffoli
P1
45.0%
47.4%
P2
46.2%
39.8%
P3
38.2%
32.9%
OT
35.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.7%
33.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spooner
50.0%▲
44.0%
43.2%
Toffoli
38.0%▼
42.5%
40.8%