Scouting Report
David Desharnais holds a +18.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Desharnais on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Desharnais wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Desharnais 54.4% vs Jost 40.7% (+18.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Desharnais 92.2%
Defensive zone
Desharnais 80.0%
Neutral zone
Desharnais 91.8%
Result
David Desharnais favored at 82.4%
82.4%
17.6%
Desharnais
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Desharnais
Jost
Last 5: Desharnais 4-1 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Desharnais
3
1
Desharnais
Jost
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Desharnais
1
0
Desharnais
Jost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Desharnais
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (630)
38.5% (200)
+16.1%
Power Play
58.0% (69)
8.3% (12)
+49.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
35.3% (17)
+64.7%
On penalty kill, Desharnais has a +64.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Desharnais is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Desharnais shoots left. Jost is 37.6% vs left-shot opponents (141).
Home / Away
Desharnais
Jost
Home
57.1% (340)
40.7% (113)
Away
53.2% (361)
32.8% (116)
By Period
Desharnais
Jost
P1
50.9%
30.2%
P2
60.0%
35.1%
P3
54.0%
45.6%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.4%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Desharnais
56.0%▲
54.5%
55.1%
Jost
40.0%▼
44.5%
36.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 08:22 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 1 | 01:25 | Defensive | David Desharnais |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 2 | 09:06 | Defensive | David Desharnais |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 2 | 02:26 | Defensive | David Desharnais |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 1 | 05:29 | Neutral | David Desharnais |