Scouting Report
Tyson Jost holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Gambrell wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gambrell 44.6% vs Jost 47.5% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jost 50.2%
Defensive zone
Gambrell 68.3%
Neutral zone
Gambrell 57.7%
Result
Dylan Gambrell favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Gambrell
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Gambrell
Jost
Last 5: Gambrell 1-4 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jost
0
2
Gambrell
Jost
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gambrell
1
0
Gambrell
Jost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jost
0
2
Gambrell
Jost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gambrell
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (500)
47.7% (287)
-3.1%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
62.5% (8)
-25.0%
Penalty Kill
41.1% (129)
39.2% (51)
+1.9%
On power play, Jost has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Gambrell is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Gambrell shoots right. Jost is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Gambrell
Jost
Home
41.6% (363)
49.5% (190)
Away
46.7% (274)
43.6% (156)
By Period
Gambrell
Jost
P1
42.2%
43.2%
P2
46.2%
52.5%
P3
43.8%
44.5%
Final 5 min
39.9%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gambrell
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.8%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2021 | 1 | 14:18 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 16:21 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 11:12 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 07:28 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 14:48 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |