Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.1% vs 46.8%). Look for Jost on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Ek wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 47.4% vs Jost 47.5% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jost 56.5%
Defensive zone
Jost 51.8%
Neutral zone
Jost 54.4%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Ek
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Ek
Jost
Last 8: Ek 2-6 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jost
0
2
Ek
Jost
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jost
2
4
Ek
Jost
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (707)
47.7% (287)
+0.1%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
62.5% (8)
-13.4%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (77)
39.2% (51)
-0.2%
On power play, Jost has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Ek is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (632).
Ek shoots left. Jost is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (226).
Home / Away
Ek
Jost
Home
47.1% (414)
49.5% (190)
Away
47.1% (425)
43.6% (156)
By Period
Ek
Jost
P1
45.5%
43.2%
P2
50.2%
52.5%
P3
44.3%
44.5%
Final 5 min
43.2%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
47.1%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2021 | 2 | 19:47 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 19:49 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 3 | 06:24 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 13:05 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 1 | 14:09 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |