Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Jost on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 48.8% vs Jost 47.5% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Jost leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Jost 73.0%
Defensive zone
Larsson 60.2%
Neutral zone
Jost 56.9%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 58.2%
41.8%
58.2%
Larsson
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Larsson
Jost
Last 10: Larsson 4-6 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jost
1
3
Larsson
Jost
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
2
1
Larsson
Jost
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jost
1
2
Larsson
Jost
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (504)
47.7% (287)
+2.5%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
62.5% (8)
-29.2%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (96)
39.2% (51)
+2.5%
On power play, Jost has a +29.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Larsson is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (440).
Larsson shoots left. Jost is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (226).
Home / Away
Larsson
Jost
Home
48.2% (272)
49.5% (190)
Away
49.0% (337)
43.6% (156)
By Period
Larsson
Jost
P1
48.6%
43.2%
P2
56.1%
52.5%
P3
41.0%
44.5%
Final 5 min
39.6%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
48.6%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2021 | 2 | 01:48 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 1 | 04:52 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 2 | 04:27 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 1 | 05:36 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 3 | 01:13 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 1 | 14:47 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 3 | 01:43 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 2 | 02:08 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 3 | 16:29 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 1 | 09:02 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |