Scouting Report
Tyson Kozak holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Blackwell wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kozak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 47.7% vs Kozak 48.8% (-1.1%)
Offensive zone
Blackwell 54.0%
Defensive zone
Kozak 52.7%
Neutral zone
Blackwell 51.0%
Result
Colin Blackwell favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Blackwell
Kozak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (698)
48.3% (431)
+0.8%
Power Play
63.2% (38)
62.5% (8)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (260)
48.9% (45)
-8.1%
On penalty kill, Kozak has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Blackwell is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (791).
Blackwell shoots right. Kozak is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Kozak
Home
45.8% (480)
47.6% (229)
Away
49.0% (516)
49.4% (255)
By Period
Blackwell
Kozak
P1
47.1%
54.4%
P2
47.7%
45.7%
P3
47.6%
45.7%
Final 5 min
52.4%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
44.0%▬
44.5%
47.5%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
48.6%