Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.4% vs 49.6%). Look for James on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
James 50.3% vs Kozak 49.7% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
James 82.5%
Defensive zone
Kozak 57.8%
Neutral zone
James 52.4%
Result
Dominic James favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
James
Kozak
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
James
Kozak
Last 7: James 5-2 Kozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: James
2
0
James
Kozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: James
3
2
James
Kozak
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
James
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (270)
49.3% (294)
+0.3%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
60.0% (5)
+20.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
50.0% (40)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, James has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. James is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (188).
James shoots left. Kozak is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (239).
Home / Away
James
Kozak
Home
47.4% (156)
45.5% (145)
Away
54.2% (120)
52.6% (194)
By Period
James
Kozak
P1
47.4%
53.4%
P2
53.3%
50.0%
P3
50.0%
44.3%
Final 5 min
51.4%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
James
60.0%▲
52.0%
50.4%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 15:02 | Neutral | Dominic James |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 14:57 | Neutral | Dominic James |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 03:43 | Neutral | Dominic James |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 19:04 | Offensive | Dominic James |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 02:00 | Neutral | Tyson Kozak |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 16:50 | Neutral | Tyson Kozak |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 03:15 | Offensive | Dominic James |