Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 52.4%). Look for Filppula on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Smith wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Filppula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.9% vs Filppula 52.2% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Filppula 76.0%
Defensive zone
Smith 81.1%
Neutral zone
Smith 66.5%
Result
Valtteri Filppula favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Smith
Filppula
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Smith
Filppula
Last 9: Smith 3-6 Filppula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Filppula
0
5
Smith
Filppula
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
2
1
Smith
Filppula
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
1
0
Smith
Filppula
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Filppula
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (475)
51.3% (895)
+2.8%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
59.0% (200)
-44.7%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (112)
48.9% (90)
-2.5%
On power play, Filppula has a +44.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Filppula shoots left. Smith is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (432).
Smith shoots right. Filppula is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (490).
Home / Away
Smith
Filppula
Home
54.4% (274)
53.0% (617)
Away
50.3% (320)
51.8% (568)
By Period
Smith
Filppula
P1
50.0%
48.6%
P2
53.4%
55.1%
P3
53.2%
53.8%
OT
33.3%
41.7%
Final 5 min
48.3%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Filppula
52.0%▲
45.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2015 | 3 | 15:18 | Offensive | Valtteri Filppula |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 3 | 06:28 | Offensive | Valtteri Filppula |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 2 | 04:59 | Offensive | Valtteri Filppula |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 3 | 05:11 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 3 | 03:03 | Offensive | Valtteri Filppula |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 3 | 01:18 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 1 | 13:49 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 1 | 10:54 | Offensive | Valtteri Filppula |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 1 | 06:10 | Defensive | Valtteri Filppula |