Scouting Report
Valtteri Filppula holds a +15.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Filppula on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Smith wins 34.8% vs left-shot opponents — Filppula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 43.0% vs Filppula 54.1% (-15.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 83.4%
Defensive zone
Smith 77.8%
Neutral zone
Smith 77.6%
Result
Craig Smith favored at 82.6%
82.6%
17.4%
Smith
Filppula
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Smith
Filppula
Last 7: Smith 1-6 Filppula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Filppula
1
5
Smith
Filppula
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Filppula
0
1
Smith
Filppula
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Filppula
Edge
Even Strength
37.4% (163)
53.5% (226)
-16.1%
Power Play
48.6% (37)
60.6% (94)
-12.0%
On even strength, Filppula has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Filppula shoots left. Smith is 34.8% vs left-shot opponents (155).
Smith shoots right. Filppula is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Smith
Filppula
Home
47.1% (68)
61.2% (152)
Away
35.6% (132)
50.3% (171)
By Period
Smith
Filppula
P1
32.8%
61.2%
P2
42.0%
56.4%
P3
43.8%
49.0%
Final 5 min
42.2%
58.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
39.5%
Filppula
52.0%▲
45.0%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2013 | 3 | 07:29 | Offensive | Valtteri Filppula |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 2 | 16:39 | Offensive | Valtteri Filppula |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 2 | 01:46 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 2 | 01:34 | Offensive | Valtteri Filppula |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 1 | 13:01 | Offensive | Valtteri Filppula |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 1 | 07:16 | Defensive | Valtteri Filppula |
| Apr 14, 2013 | 2 | 06:47 | Offensive | Valtteri Filppula |