Scouting Report
Greg McKegg holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McKegg on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). McKegg wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Filppula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McKegg 49.5% vs Filppula 45.5% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Filppula 56.4%
Defensive zone
McKegg 65.9%
Neutral zone
McKegg 57.7%
Result
Greg McKegg favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
McKegg
Filppula
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
McKegg
Filppula
Last 5: McKegg 4-1 Filppula
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McKegg
3
1
McKegg
Filppula
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McKegg
1
0
McKegg
Filppula
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McKegg
Filppula
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (184)
43.8% (569)
+5.1%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
52.4% (103)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (19)
42.0% (50)
+5.4%
On power play, McKegg has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Filppula shoots left. McKegg is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (143).
McKegg shoots left. Filppula is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (483).
Home / Away
McKegg
Filppula
Home
50.0% (112)
43.7% (366)
Away
48.5% (99)
46.1% (356)
By Period
McKegg
Filppula
P1
42.4%
45.9%
P2
55.4%
50.4%
P3
49.3%
37.4%
Final 5 min
51.2%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.3%
Filppula
52.0%▲
45.0%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 05:16 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 1 | 12:33 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 2 | 14:00 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Nov 6, 2019 | 2 | 16:07 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Nov 6, 2019 | 2 | 11:19 | Defensive | Valtteri Filppula |