Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 51.3%). Look for Hayes on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 50.5% vs Filppula 51.1% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Filppula 69.5%
Defensive zone
Hayes 56.1%
Neutral zone
Filppula 60.5%
Result
Valtteri Filppula favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Hayes
Filppula
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Hayes
Filppula
Last 9: Hayes 7-2 Filppula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Filppula
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Filppula
1
2
Hayes
Filppula
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
5
0
Hayes
Filppula
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Filppula
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (850)
52.5% (840)
-2.1%
Power Play
56.4% (39)
46.8% (47)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (223)
38.1% (63)
+12.1%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Filppula shoots left. Hayes is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Hayes shoots left. Filppula is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (633).
Home / Away
Hayes
Filppula
Home
50.0% (586)
51.1% (491)
Away
51.1% (526)
51.4% (459)
By Period
Hayes
Filppula
P1
52.3%
48.9%
P2
52.3%
52.7%
P3
47.3%
51.3%
OT
50.0%
85.7%
Final 5 min
51.8%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
50.5%
Filppula
52.0%▲
45.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2018 | 2 | 17:59 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 2 | 15:39 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 1 | 17:26 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 3 | 18:15 | Defensive | Valtteri Filppula |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 3 | 01:13 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 2 | 17:03 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 1 | 11:56 | Defensive | Valtteri Filppula |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 1 | 07:56 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 2 | 05:47 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |