Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Hayes wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Filppula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 50.2% vs Filppula 45.5% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 65.2%
Defensive zone
Hayes 69.7%
Neutral zone
Hayes 79.0%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 76.3%
76.3%
23.7%
Hayes
Filppula
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Hayes
Filppula
Last 7: Hayes 5-2 Filppula
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
0
Hayes
Filppula
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
3
2
Hayes
Filppula
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Filppula
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (672)
43.8% (569)
+7.5%
Power Play
50.0% (78)
52.4% (103)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (76)
42.0% (50)
-1.2%
On even strength, Hayes has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Filppula shoots left. Hayes is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Hayes shoots left. Filppula is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (483).
Home / Away
Hayes
Filppula
Home
52.0% (404)
43.7% (366)
Away
48.6% (422)
46.1% (356)
By Period
Hayes
Filppula
P1
50.7%
45.9%
P2
50.2%
50.4%
P3
49.8%
37.4%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.9%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
50.2%
Filppula
52.0%▲
45.0%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2020 | 2 | 04:39 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Valtteri Filppula |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 2 | 13:08 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 2 | 06:52 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 1 | 02:56 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Valtteri Filppula |