Scouting Report
Valtteri Filppula holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Erat on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Erat 47.0% vs Filppula 52.1% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Filppula 81.2%
Defensive zone
Filppula 75.5%
Neutral zone
Filppula 76.5%
Result
Valtteri Filppula favored at 76.0%
24.0%
76.0%
Erat
Filppula
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Erat
Filppula
Last 6: Erat 4-2 Filppula
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Erat
2
1
Erat
Filppula
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Erat
2
1
Erat
Filppula
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Erat
Filppula
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (180)
51.1% (1,006)
-6.7%
Power Play
44.4% (18)
57.7% (215)
-13.3%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (15)
52.4% (105)
+7.6%
On power play, Filppula has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Filppula shoots left. Erat is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (134).
Erat shoots left. Filppula is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (823).
Home / Away
Erat
Filppula
Home
51.9% (129)
56.0% (696)
Away
35.7% (84)
48.1% (630)
By Period
Erat
Filppula
P1
44.4%
52.1%
P2
45.9%
52.2%
P3
47.2%
52.2%
OT
25.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
52.0%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Erat
38.0%▼
43.5%
45.5%
Filppula
52.0%▲
45.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2014 | 3 | 11:36 | Defensive | Valtteri Filppula |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 3 | 14:42 | Defensive | Martin Erat |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 3 | 08:36 | Neutral | Valtteri Filppula |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 3 | 03:28 | Defensive | Martin Erat |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 2 | 02:31 | Neutral | Martin Erat |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 1 | 17:20 | Neutral | Martin Erat |