Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.8% vs 47.8%). Look for Dowd on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Dowd wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Filppula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.1% vs Filppula 48.0% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowd 71.7%
Defensive zone
Filppula 74.1%
Neutral zone
Filppula 52.2%
Result
Valtteri Filppula favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Dowd
Filppula
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Dowd
Filppula
Last 7: Dowd 5-2 Filppula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Filppula
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Filppula
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
3
2
Dowd
Filppula
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Filppula
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (608)
48.3% (944)
-1.1%
Power Play
53.1% (96)
57.7% (78)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
39.3% (140)
-39.3%
On penalty kill, Filppula has a +39.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Filppula shoots left. Dowd is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (483).
Dowd shoots right. Filppula is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (451).
Home / Away
Dowd
Filppula
Home
48.7% (384)
48.3% (601)
Away
46.7% (323)
47.4% (561)
By Period
Dowd
Filppula
P1
50.2%
48.7%
P2
47.5%
45.8%
P3
46.2%
49.6%
OT
40.0%
38.5%
Final 5 min
48.4%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
47.8%
Filppula
52.0%▲
45.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2017 | 3 | 10:46 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 2 | 04:56 | Neutral | Valtteri Filppula |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 3 | 11:29 | Neutral | Valtteri Filppula |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 3 | 00:24 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 2 | 13:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 2 | 03:48 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 2 | 00:36 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |