Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Filppula on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kesler wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Filppula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 56.0% vs Filppula 52.2% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Filppula leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Filppula 59.7%
Defensive zone
Filppula 55.3%
Neutral zone
Filppula 59.2%
Result
Valtteri Filppula favored at 58.2%
41.8%
58.2%
Kesler
Filppula
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Kesler
Filppula
Last 10: Kesler 3-7 Filppula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
4
3
Kesler
Filppula
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Filppula
0
4
Kesler
Filppula
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Filppula
0
1
Kesler
Filppula
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Filppula
Edge
Even Strength
57.4% (1,185)
51.3% (895)
+6.1%
Power Play
58.0% (243)
59.0% (200)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (236)
48.9% (90)
+0.3%
On even strength, Kesler has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Filppula shoots left. Kesler is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,075).
Kesler shoots right. Filppula is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (490).
Home / Away
Kesler
Filppula
Home
58.5% (793)
53.0% (617)
Away
54.3% (871)
51.8% (568)
By Period
Kesler
Filppula
P1
57.0%
48.6%
P2
55.4%
55.1%
P3
56.7%
53.8%
OT
54.8%
41.7%
Final 5 min
54.2%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.3%
Filppula
52.0%▲
45.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2015 | 3 | 12:46 | Neutral | Valtteri Filppula |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 3 | 09:31 | Defensive | Valtteri Filppula |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 3 | 09:25 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 3 | 06:00 | Offensive | Valtteri Filppula |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 3 | 04:10 | Offensive | Valtteri Filppula |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 2 | 11:45 | Offensive | Valtteri Filppula |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 1 | 19:48 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 3 | 19:53 | Defensive | Valtteri Filppula |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 3 | 18:37 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 3 | 18:32 | Defensive | Valtteri Filppula |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 3 | 15:30 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 3 | 07:44 | Defensive | Valtteri Filppula |