Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Filppula on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kesler wins 58.0% vs left-shot opponents — Filppula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 58.0% vs Filppula 51.8% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Filppula 69.0%
Defensive zone
Kesler 53.2%
Neutral zone
Filppula 59.3%
Result
Valtteri Filppula favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Kesler
Filppula
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Kesler
Filppula
Last 6: Kesler 2-4 Filppula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kesler
Filppula
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Filppula
1
3
Kesler
Filppula
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Filppula
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (1,138)
54.4% (895)
+4.2%
Power Play
64.5% (186)
46.0% (163)
+18.5%
Penalty Kill
55.0% (351)
44.3% (158)
+10.7%
On power play, Kesler has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Filppula shoots left. Kesler is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,168).
Kesler shoots right. Filppula is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (541).
Home / Away
Kesler
Filppula
Home
61.0% (859)
52.1% (651)
Away
55.9% (816)
51.9% (565)
By Period
Kesler
Filppula
P1
59.1%
51.3%
P2
56.5%
49.5%
P3
60.5%
54.1%
OT
44.4%
84.6%
Final 5 min
61.3%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
58.5%
Filppula
52.0%▲
45.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2015 | 3 | 19:28 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 2, 2015 | 1 | 12:53 | Offensive | Valtteri Filppula |
| Dec 2, 2015 | 1 | 06:02 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 3 | 12:52 | Defensive | Valtteri Filppula |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 2 | 16:41 | Defensive | Valtteri Filppula |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 2 | 11:06 | Defensive | Valtteri Filppula |