Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Filppula on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kuraly wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Filppula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 53.2% vs Filppula 49.2% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuraly 56.8%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 57.3%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 60.6%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Kuraly
Filppula
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Kuraly
Filppula
Last 5: Kuraly 3-2 Filppula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
2
0
Kuraly
Filppula
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Filppula
1
2
Kuraly
Filppula
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Filppula
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (464)
51.2% (646)
+3.3%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
58.6% (29)
-58.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (66)
36.8% (136)
+13.2%
On power play, Filppula has a +58.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Filppula shoots left. Kuraly is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (342).
Kuraly shoots left. Filppula is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Filppula
Home
52.3% (281)
49.8% (418)
Away
55.6% (250)
48.3% (393)
By Period
Kuraly
Filppula
P1
56.0%
51.9%
P2
60.8%
45.3%
P3
44.3%
51.2%
OT
66.7%
16.7%
Final 5 min
57.8%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
53.9%
Filppula
52.0%▲
45.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2018 | 3 | 15:35 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 3 | 12:25 | Defensive | Valtteri Filppula |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 3 | 12:17 | Defensive | Valtteri Filppula |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 2 | 18:45 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 1 | 10:27 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |