Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.0% vs 52.1%). Filppula wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Filppula 51.8% vs Smith 51.9% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 50.3%
Defensive zone
Smith 60.1%
Neutral zone
Filppula 50.2%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Filppula
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Filppula
Smith
Last 5: Filppula 1-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Filppula
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Filppula
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Filppula
Smith
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Filppula
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (895)
53.6% (550)
+0.8%
Power Play
46.0% (163)
53.5% (71)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (158)
43.5% (108)
+0.8%
On power play, Smith has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Filppula is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (675).
Filppula shoots left. Smith is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (480).
Home / Away
Filppula
Smith
Home
52.1% (651)
56.5% (352)
Away
51.9% (565)
48.0% (377)
By Period
Filppula
Smith
P1
51.3%
52.0%
P2
49.5%
51.5%
P3
54.1%
52.2%
OT
84.6%
80.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Filppula
52.0%▲
45.0%
52.0%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2016 | 1 | 19:29 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 2 | 06:45 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 20, 2015 | 1 | 04:21 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 2 | 09:37 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 1 | 08:03 | Defensive | Valtteri Filppula |