Scouting Report
Vernon Fiddler holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Fiddler on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Tanguay wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Fiddler shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tanguay 43.2% vs Fiddler 51.3% (-12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tanguay 83.6%
Defensive zone
Fiddler 58.5%
Neutral zone
Tanguay 61.8%
Result
Alex Tanguay favored at 72.9%
72.9%
27.1%
Tanguay
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Tanguay
Fiddler
Last 8: Tanguay 3-5 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
2
3
Tanguay
Fiddler
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
0
1
Tanguay
Fiddler
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tanguay
Fiddler
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tanguay
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (122)
56.8% (433)
-16.6%
Power Play
29.2% (24)
43.5% (23)
-14.3%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (27)
38.7% (163)
+5.7%
On even strength, Fiddler has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Tanguay is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Tanguay shoots left. Fiddler is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (404).
Home / Away
Tanguay
Fiddler
Home
41.6% (101)
54.5% (301)
Away
36.1% (72)
48.7% (318)
By Period
Tanguay
Fiddler
P1
45.9%
55.9%
P2
36.5%
47.2%
P3
34.8%
51.9%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tanguay
44.0%▲
40.0%
39.3%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2013 | 2 | 03:06 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 1 | 11:53 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 1 | 06:05 | Offensive | Alex Tanguay |
| Feb 13, 2013 | 3 | 09:54 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Feb 13, 2013 | 3 | 01:05 | Neutral | Alex Tanguay |
| Feb 13, 2013 | 2 | 01:40 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Feb 13, 2013 | 1 | 19:23 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Feb 13, 2013 | 1 | 02:37 | Offensive | Alex Tanguay |