Scouting Report
Vernon Fiddler holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Fiddler on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Shaw wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Fiddler shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 44.1% vs Fiddler 52.0% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 88.5%
Defensive zone
Fiddler 53.9%
Neutral zone
Shaw 73.0%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Shaw
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Shaw
Fiddler
Last 5: Shaw 1-4 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
0
3
Shaw
Fiddler
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Shaw
Fiddler
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (636)
55.4% (737)
-11.5%
Power Play
32.4% (37)
56.7% (30)
-24.3%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
40.9% (215)
+4.6%
On power play, Fiddler has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Shaw is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (469).
Shaw shoots right. Fiddler is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Home / Away
Shaw
Fiddler
Home
46.3% (363)
54.0% (489)
Away
39.9% (321)
50.5% (493)
By Period
Shaw
Fiddler
P1
47.4%
52.9%
P2
43.0%
51.6%
P3
40.0%
52.6%
OT
46.2%
41.7%
Final 5 min
39.8%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
43.3%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2013 | 2 | 12:08 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 2 | 08:30 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 3 | 18:53 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 3 | 02:38 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 2 | 05:35 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |