Scouting Report
Vernon Fiddler holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Shaw on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Shaw wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Fiddler shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 47.3% vs Fiddler 50.7% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 70.4%
Defensive zone
Fiddler 70.4%
Neutral zone
Shaw 51.1%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Shaw
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Shaw
Fiddler
Last 8: Shaw 4-4 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
3
0
Shaw
Fiddler
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
0
3
Shaw
Fiddler
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Shaw
Fiddler
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (291)
52.4% (590)
-6.4%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
48.3% (29)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
47.5% (278)
+27.5%
On penalty kill, Shaw has a +27.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Shaw is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (232).
Shaw shoots right. Fiddler is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Shaw
Fiddler
Home
49.4% (160)
51.6% (434)
Away
43.5% (154)
49.9% (463)
By Period
Shaw
Fiddler
P1
46.2%
45.4%
P2
45.9%
52.1%
P3
47.3%
54.3%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
46.5%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2016 | 3 | 04:33 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 3 | 01:09 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 1 | 18:28 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 1 | 17:54 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 1 | 11:34 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 11, 2016 | 3 | 02:25 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 11, 2016 | 2 | 10:42 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 11, 2016 | 2 | 02:03 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |