Scouting Report
Andy McDonald holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Fiddler on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McDonald wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Fiddler shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDonald 57.2% vs Fiddler 53.6% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDonald 69.2%
Defensive zone
Fiddler 86.6%
Neutral zone
Fiddler 62.5%
Result
Vernon Fiddler favored at 67.0%
33.0%
67.0%
McDonald
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
McDonald
Fiddler
Last 9: McDonald 3-6 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDonald
1
0
McDonald
Fiddler
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
0
3
McDonald
Fiddler
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fiddler
2
3
McDonald
Fiddler
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDonald
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (246)
55.2% (919)
+3.7%
Power Play
62.7% (75)
55.0% (20)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (23)
48.5% (268)
-0.7%
On power play, McDonald has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. McDonald is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (242).
McDonald shoots left. Fiddler is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (913).
Home / Away
McDonald
Fiddler
Home
63.5% (148)
54.5% (583)
Away
56.2% (201)
53.4% (641)
By Period
McDonald
Fiddler
P1
64.2%
53.3%
P2
53.8%
57.0%
P3
59.8%
51.8%
OT
66.7%
42.9%
Final 5 min
48.3%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDonald
56.0%▲
48.0%
59.3%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2011 | 3 | 15:15 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 3 | 11:08 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 3 | 07:14 | Neutral | Andy McDonald |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 3 | 03:42 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 2 | 17:00 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 2 | 15:26 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andy McDonald |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 1 | 12:47 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 2 | 06:50 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |