Scouting Report
Vernon Fiddler holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McDonald on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McDonald wins 43.6% vs left-shot opponents — Fiddler shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDonald 48.7% vs Fiddler 51.3% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDonald 88.2%
Defensive zone
Fiddler 87.3%
Neutral zone
Fiddler 57.0%
Result
Andy McDonald favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
McDonald
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
McDonald
Fiddler
Last 8: McDonald 4-4 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDonald
3
0
McDonald
Fiddler
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
0
2
McDonald
Fiddler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fiddler
1
2
McDonald
Fiddler
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDonald
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (103)
56.8% (433)
-12.1%
Power Play
51.8% (85)
43.5% (23)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
38.7% (163)
+11.3%
On even strength, Fiddler has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. McDonald is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (133).
McDonald shoots left. Fiddler is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (404).
Home / Away
McDonald
Fiddler
Home
43.8% (105)
54.5% (301)
Away
52.7% (93)
48.7% (318)
By Period
McDonald
Fiddler
P1
47.4%
55.9%
P2
48.5%
47.2%
P3
44.9%
51.9%
OT
83.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDonald
56.0%▲
48.0%
48.0%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2013 | 3 | 18:17 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 2 | 18:19 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 2 | 01:13 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 03:16 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 3 | 11:32 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 2 | 08:45 | Neutral | Andy McDonald |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 1 | 17:34 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 1 | 15:42 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |