Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 51.9%). Smith wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Fiddler shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.9% vs Fiddler 51.7% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fiddler 53.4%
Defensive zone
Smith 67.6%
Neutral zone
Smith 60.9%
Result
Ben Smith favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Smith
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Smith
Fiddler
Last 6: Smith 2-4 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Smith
Fiddler
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
0
2
Smith
Fiddler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Smith
Fiddler
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (475)
51.8% (819)
+2.3%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
37.9% (29)
-23.6%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (112)
53.8% (249)
-7.4%
On power play, Fiddler has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Smith is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (432).
Smith shoots right. Fiddler is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (376).
Home / Away
Smith
Fiddler
Home
54.4% (274)
51.1% (546)
Away
50.3% (320)
52.6% (551)
By Period
Smith
Fiddler
P1
50.0%
51.3%
P2
53.4%
53.7%
P3
53.2%
51.3%
OT
33.3%
22.2%
Final 5 min
48.3%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2015 | 3 | 18:34 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Jan 18, 2015 | 3 | 03:09 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 18, 2015 | 2 | 19:50 | Offensive | Ben Smith |
| Jan 18, 2015 | 2 | 17:16 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 1 | 10:03 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 1 | 09:51 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |