Scouting Report
Vernon Fiddler holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Fiddler on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Coyle wins 37.7% vs left-shot opponents — Fiddler shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 43.4% vs Fiddler 52.0% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 90.2%
Defensive zone
Fiddler 50.9%
Neutral zone
Coyle 75.5%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 76.3%
76.3%
23.7%
Coyle
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Coyle
Fiddler
Last 8: Coyle 2-6 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
1
3
Coyle
Fiddler
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
0
2
Coyle
Fiddler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Fiddler
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (384)
55.4% (737)
-14.0%
Power Play
45.5% (66)
56.7% (30)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
40.9% (215)
-3.4%
On even strength, Fiddler has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Coyle is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (297).
Coyle shoots right. Fiddler is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Home / Away
Coyle
Fiddler
Home
46.4% (211)
54.0% (489)
Away
38.1% (247)
50.5% (493)
By Period
Coyle
Fiddler
P1
46.2%
52.9%
P2
39.5%
51.6%
P3
37.0%
52.6%
OT
73.3%
41.7%
Final 5 min
38.1%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
41.9%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2014 | 2 | 05:22 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 1 | 06:01 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 3 | 19:45 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 3 | 09:32 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 2 | 07:30 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 2 | 07:25 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 2 | 04:29 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 2 | 04:21 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |