Scouting Report
Vernon Fiddler holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Tierney wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Fiddler shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 45.2% vs Fiddler 51.7% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fiddler 53.6%
Defensive zone
Fiddler 87.3%
Neutral zone
Fiddler 81.5%
Result
Vernon Fiddler favored at 78.8%
21.2%
78.8%
Tierney
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Tierney
Fiddler
Last 6: Tierney 5-1 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
1
0
Tierney
Fiddler
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
2
0
Tierney
Fiddler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
2
1
Tierney
Fiddler
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (321)
51.8% (819)
-8.2%
Power Play
50.0% (16)
37.9% (29)
+12.1%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
53.8% (249)
-13.8%
On penalty kill, Fiddler has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Tierney is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (204).
Tierney shoots left. Fiddler is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Home / Away
Tierney
Fiddler
Home
46.5% (127)
51.1% (546)
Away
42.3% (215)
52.6% (551)
By Period
Tierney
Fiddler
P1
42.7%
51.3%
P2
39.2%
53.7%
P3
48.8%
51.3%
Final 5 min
42.5%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
43.9%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 2 | 12:13 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 2 | 03:16 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 1 | 02:57 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |