Scouting Report
Vernon Fiddler holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Fiddler on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lazar wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Fiddler shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 45.0% vs Fiddler 50.7% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 81.2%
Defensive zone
Fiddler 54.2%
Neutral zone
Lazar 66.2%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 69.2%
69.2%
30.8%
Lazar
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Lazar
Fiddler
Last 5: Lazar 1-4 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
0
1
Lazar
Fiddler
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fiddler
1
3
Lazar
Fiddler
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (341)
52.4% (590)
-8.1%
Power Play
46.2% (26)
48.3% (29)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (17)
47.5% (278)
-18.1%
On penalty kill, Fiddler has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Lazar is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (262).
Lazar shoots right. Fiddler is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Lazar
Fiddler
Home
45.0% (202)
51.6% (434)
Away
42.3% (182)
49.9% (463)
By Period
Lazar
Fiddler
P1
45.5%
45.4%
P2
43.0%
52.1%
P3
42.1%
54.3%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
43.8%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2016 | 3 | 05:31 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 6, 2016 | 2 | 14:05 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 6, 2016 | 2 | 08:36 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 6, 2016 | 2 | 03:03 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 24, 2015 | 3 | 06:07 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |