Scouting Report
Vernon Fiddler holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stepan wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Fiddler shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 45.5% vs Fiddler 52.0% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 53.2%
Defensive zone
Fiddler 89.3%
Neutral zone
Fiddler 79.3%
Result
Vernon Fiddler favored at 73.5%
26.5%
73.5%
Stepan
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Stepan
Fiddler
Last 6: Stepan 4-2 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
0
Stepan
Fiddler
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
1
Stepan
Fiddler
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fiddler
0
1
Stepan
Fiddler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (1,141)
55.4% (737)
-11.6%
Power Play
52.2% (253)
56.7% (30)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (118)
40.9% (215)
+2.3%
On even strength, Fiddler has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Stepan is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,028).
Stepan shoots right. Fiddler is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Home / Away
Stepan
Fiddler
Home
47.8% (828)
54.0% (489)
Away
42.0% (684)
50.5% (493)
By Period
Stepan
Fiddler
P1
49.5%
52.9%
P2
42.0%
51.6%
P3
44.3%
52.6%
OT
41.2%
41.7%
Final 5 min
47.2%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
45.2%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2014 | 3 | 01:21 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 10, 2014 | 1 | 15:26 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 10, 2014 | 1 | 12:30 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 10, 2014 | 1 | 03:26 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 1 | 16:23 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 1 | 05:51 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |