Scouting Report
Vernon Fiddler holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Fiddler on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.2% vs Fiddler 53.2% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Fiddler leads 11-0 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 94.6%
Defensive zone
Stepan 58.2%
Neutral zone
Stepan 79.5%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 62.1%
62.1%
37.9%
Stepan
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
11
(11 meetings)
0
11
Stepan
Fiddler
Last 10: Stepan 0-10 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
0
9
Stepan
Fiddler
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fiddler
0
2
Stepan
Fiddler
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (1,155)
54.7% (561)
-6.5%
Power Play
48.2% (193)
62.5% (8)
-14.3%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (174)
48.3% (120)
-10.4%
On power play, Fiddler has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Stepan is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,064).
Stepan shoots right. Fiddler is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (268).
Home / Away
Stepan
Fiddler
Home
46.4% (774)
53.9% (308)
Away
47.7% (748)
53.5% (381)
By Period
Stepan
Fiddler
P1
46.7%
53.1%
P2
46.3%
53.2%
P3
48.1%
54.8%
Final 5 min
46.7%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.0%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2017 | 3 | 09:12 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 3 | 06:08 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 2 | 09:50 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 1 | 02:56 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 18, 2016 | 2 | 19:46 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 18, 2016 | 2 | 11:46 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 18, 2016 | 2 | 08:58 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 18, 2016 | 2 | 08:03 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 18, 2016 | 2 | 04:37 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 1 | 15:59 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 1 | 02:07 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |