Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Staal wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Fiddler shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 52.7% vs Fiddler 50.7% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 81.2%
Defensive zone
Fiddler 68.8%
Neutral zone
Fiddler 50.9%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Staal
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Staal
Fiddler
Last 9: Staal 8-1 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Fiddler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
6
1
Staal
Fiddler
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (713)
52.4% (590)
+0.3%
Power Play
57.1% (105)
48.3% (29)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (24)
47.5% (278)
-5.8%
On power play, Staal has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Staal is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Staal shoots left. Fiddler is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (577).
Home / Away
Staal
Fiddler
Home
56.0% (414)
51.6% (434)
Away
50.0% (428)
49.9% (463)
By Period
Staal
Fiddler
P1
49.0%
45.4%
P2
56.3%
52.1%
P3
53.9%
54.3%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.6%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
53.0%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2015 | 3 | 19:54 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 3 | 19:41 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 3 | 01:55 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 2 | 03:10 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 2 | 00:05 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 1 | 14:41 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |