Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Fiddler on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Toews wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Fiddler shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 54.6% vs Fiddler 53.2% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 67.8%
Defensive zone
Fiddler 85.0%
Neutral zone
Fiddler 67.7%
Result
Vernon Fiddler favored at 81.5%
18.5%
81.5%
Toews
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Toews
Fiddler
Last 5: Toews 0-5 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
0
4
Toews
Fiddler
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fiddler
0
1
Toews
Fiddler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (1,153)
54.7% (561)
+0.1%
Power Play
58.8% (233)
62.5% (8)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (166)
48.3% (120)
+1.7%
On power play, Fiddler has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Toews is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Toews shoots left. Fiddler is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Home / Away
Toews
Fiddler
Home
58.7% (784)
53.9% (308)
Away
51.0% (768)
53.5% (381)
By Period
Toews
Fiddler
P1
54.0%
53.1%
P2
57.4%
53.2%
P3
52.6%
54.8%
Final 5 min
55.9%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
54.9%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2017 | 3 | 19:21 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 3 | 03:21 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 2 | 11:22 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 1 | 06:23 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 1 | 11:15 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |