Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Fiddler on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Eller wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Fiddler shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 52.9% vs Fiddler 52.0% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 62.0%
Defensive zone
Fiddler 58.2%
Neutral zone
Eller 51.3%
Result
Vernon Fiddler favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Eller
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Eller
Fiddler
Last 7: Eller 2-5 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Fiddler
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
1
4
Eller
Fiddler
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (803)
55.4% (737)
-2.1%
Power Play
55.8% (86)
56.7% (30)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (90)
40.9% (215)
+9.1%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Eller is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (610).
Eller shoots left. Fiddler is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (633).
Home / Away
Eller
Fiddler
Home
52.8% (525)
54.0% (489)
Away
53.7% (454)
50.5% (493)
By Period
Eller
Fiddler
P1
53.9%
52.9%
P2
54.8%
51.6%
P3
50.9%
52.6%
OT
50.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
51.2%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.2%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2014 | 2 | 02:09 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 1 | 17:17 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 1 | 13:11 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Oct 29, 2013 | 3 | 05:19 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Oct 29, 2013 | 2 | 10:26 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 29, 2013 | 2 | 04:59 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Oct 29, 2013 | 1 | 10:09 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |