Scouting Report
Vernon Fiddler holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Couture on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 48.3% vs Fiddler 51.7% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fiddler 57.7%
Defensive zone
Fiddler 79.4%
Neutral zone
Fiddler 70.5%
Result
Vernon Fiddler favored at 76.3%
23.7%
76.3%
Couture
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Couture
Fiddler
Last 7: Couture 5-2 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
1
0
Couture
Fiddler
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
4
2
Couture
Fiddler
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (879)
51.8% (819)
-2.5%
Power Play
61.3% (31)
37.9% (29)
+23.4%
Penalty Kill
31.3% (80)
53.8% (249)
-22.5%
On power play, Couture has a +23.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Couture is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Couture shoots left. Fiddler is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Home / Away
Couture
Fiddler
Home
51.4% (521)
51.1% (546)
Away
44.6% (469)
52.6% (551)
By Period
Couture
Fiddler
P1
44.0%
51.3%
P2
48.3%
53.7%
P3
53.1%
51.3%
OT
28.6%
22.2%
Final 5 min
46.4%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.2%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2015 | 2 | 17:05 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 2 | 12:09 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 2 | 10:23 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 2 | 04:05 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 1 | 13:07 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 1 | 03:49 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 1 | 01:22 | Offensive | Logan Couture |