Scouting Report
Vernon Fiddler holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Arcobello on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arcobello 50.8% vs Fiddler 52.0% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Arcobello 63.9%
Defensive zone
Fiddler 82.5%
Neutral zone
Fiddler 53.5%
Result
Mark Arcobello favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Arcobello
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Arcobello
Fiddler
Last 5: Arcobello 4-1 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arcobello
1
0
Arcobello
Fiddler
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Arcobello
3
1
Arcobello
Fiddler
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arcobello
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (344)
55.4% (737)
-2.8%
Power Play
46.9% (32)
56.7% (30)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (28)
40.9% (215)
-5.2%
On power play, Fiddler has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Arcobello is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Arcobello shoots right. Fiddler is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Home / Away
Arcobello
Fiddler
Home
53.8% (173)
54.0% (489)
Away
48.9% (231)
50.5% (493)
By Period
Arcobello
Fiddler
P1
51.6%
52.9%
P2
50.7%
51.6%
P3
51.1%
52.6%
OT
0.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
46.7%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arcobello
58.0%▲
56.5%
51.0%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2014 | 3 | 19:21 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 2 | 01:10 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |
| Dec 1, 2013 | 3 | 00:57 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Dec 1, 2013 | 2 | 16:05 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 13, 2013 | 3 | 19:46 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |